Political Changes Through Social Media

Facebook has 1.4 billion users spend 20 billion minutes per day on it.
Twitter has 240 million users who send an average of 145 million tweets per day.
YouTube users upload around 4.5 million hours of video per month and in the same interval, 6 billion hours of video get viewed.
WhatsApp boasts of 465 million active users in less than 4 years.

“May you live in interesting times” – Chinese curse

In the history of mankind, it has never been easier for people to communicate with each other, at such a low cost.
Information which was available to a select minority is now available to the masses for free and through multiple channels.  Not only is it easy to publish our smallest thoughts, but with technology it has also become trouble-free to find a niche audience, however geographically dislocated. And remember, social media is not just a tool for spreading knowledge; it also helps us share basic human emotions such as joy, sadness, love, excitement, admiration, outrage and disgust. 

The Internet is slowly being transformed from just a huge repository of information to a mass collective of human consciousness.  Aristotle said that a human is ‘by nature a social animal’ and looks for companionship and peer reconfirmation as part of self-fulfillment. This evolutionary psychology is the central theme of the spread of social media. We can share the good feelings and we can vent our frustrations.  And these frustrations go viral especially against the current social and political order.

We have seen the manifestation of this particularly in world politics. The first of these were noticed in December 2010 in the restrictive societies of the Middle-East and is now famously known as Arab Spring. But similar expressions have spread throughout the world where there are inequalities, and despotic or corrupt governments like in Indonesia, Thailand, Spain, Portugal, Venezuela, Brazil and Ukraine. And this is not limited to only the developing countries - even the developed and ‘free’ society of the USA had to encounter the Occupy Wall Street movement.

Most of these protests have some commonalities: they  start as largely non-violent civil resistance campaigns involving rallies, marches, sit-ins (dharna) and strikes; they make effective use of social media to raise awareness, communicate and loosely organize themselves; they have mostly been spearheaded by middle-class youth; they have similarities to the Eastern European revolution during the fall of the USSR… or the French Revolution… where the common man was able to overthrow  an established regime; and at no juncture in history, has it been easier to gather such a vast number of people, especially in urban areas. We can find similar patterns in India: nation-wide disgust against corruption and scams led to the Anna movement, and a sympathy wave over a brutal rape led to the Nirbhaya crusade. Both contributed to the rise of the AAP in India.

However, another pattern slowly emerges. Even though these movements have been successful in changing the existing political hierarchy, they have often led to anarchy because the loosely organized multitude could not provide a central leader. We saw it in Egypt where the movement eventually led to a Muslim Brotherhood and finally an army rule. We saw similarities in other movements where, after the initial euphoria, it fizzled out due to infighting and diluted motivations, only to be replaced by another authoritarian version of it.

The leadership talent, much needed to raise awareness and protest, often does not translate into a visionary government. This leads to a worse uncertainty instead of better and transparent governance. In India we are yet to figure out how the AAP party will metamorphose over time and how the other main stream parties will manage to incorporate the learning.  

Snowden’s revelations clearly show that there is a concerted effort by governments around the world to monitor, clamp down & control social media.  In India, we have seen cases of violence and hasty police action. This has eroded the confidence of the masses – people now think twice before posting opinions in public forums especially in countries with ambiguous interpretation of free speech.

Another pitfall is that social media can also be used to spread misinformation easily.  Governments, political parties and vested interest groups can easily spread lies and fear through this channel  since there is no verification by an independent source.  People need to be critical and circumspect; they need to do their own in-depth research which, more often than not, never happens.

We know that social media’s reach is vast, but there are two areas where bias creeps in.  Firstly, a person’s friends are limited and their similar predispositions can easily reaffirm a wrong idea in the person’s mind. Secondly, even with its mass adaptability, social media is still largely confined to a small percentage of the ‘urban educated’ in a country like India.  Hence the so called representative view of social media is not universal at all, and decisions based solely on it may be entirely off-track.


Social media should be referred to as an additional source of information and the user needs to use critical judgment and be unbiased when using it.  But one thing is certain - social media has given a voice to the masses and the government can no longer take them for granted. The movement has a transforming effect on some, and a new breed of leaders is sure to emerge in next couple of decades. 

(This article was first published in the Spring edition of New Acropolis, Bangalore)

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